Evidence

The research behind the product.

These three studies establish the scale of wandering, injury, and self-injury risk for this population. They demonstrate why the problem is worth solving. They do not prove that any monitoring system prevents these outcomes — Kinocular is a concept, and no outcome study of it exists yet.

Elopement

Occurrence and Family Impact of Elopement in Children With Autism Spectrum Disorders

Anderson C, et al. · Pediatrics, 2012 · Survey of 1,218 children with ASD

This survey remains one of the largest looks at wandering behavior in autism, and it's the basis for Kinocular's departure-detection priority. Parents were asked whether their child had ever attempted to leave a supervised space without permission, where it happened, and what the outcome was.

49%
had attempted to elope after age four
74%
of elopements were from the child's own home
41.5 min
average time missing once wandered off

Among children who went missing, close calls with traffic and water were both common — serious enough that many families described wandering as their single greatest safety fear, ranking above aggression or self-injury.

Read the full study on PMC →
Injury mortality

Injury Mortality in Individuals With Autism

Guan J, Li G. · American Journal of Public Health, 2017;107(5):791–793 · US death records, 1999–2014

This analysis reviewed national death records for people with an autism diagnosis over a fifteen-year span, comparing the share of deaths attributable to injury against the general population.

27.9%
of recorded deaths were injury-related

Drowning and asphyxiation after wandering were among the leading injury causes identified. This is the study behind Kinocular's framing of departure and fall detection as safety-critical rather than convenience features.

Read the full study on PubMed →
Self-injury

Prevalence of Self-injurious Behaviors among Children with Autism Spectrum Disorder: A Population-Based Study

Soke GN, et al. · Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders, 2016;46(11):3607–3614 · Population-based study of 8,065 children with ASD

This population-based study documented how common self-injurious behavior is among children with ASD, and which forms it most often takes — directly informing which behaviors Kinocular's abnormal-behavior detection is built to recognize.

27.7%
documented prevalence of self-injurious behavior

Head-banging, hand- or arm-biting, and excessive self-rubbing or scratching were among the most frequently documented behaviors. Repeated head-banging specifically is one of the predefined patterns Kinocular flags.

Read the full study on PMC →

On the 39.89 figure sometimes cited alongside this research: that number is a proportionate mortality ratio for drowning, not a "times more likely" statistic. It reflects drowning's share of deaths in this population compared with the general public, and should not be quoted without that context.

Quick reference

All three citations in one place.

  1. Anderson C, et al. Occurrence and Family Impact of Elopement in Children With Autism Spectrum Disorders. Pediatrics, 2012. pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4524545
  2. Guan J, Li G. Injury Mortality in Individuals With Autism. American Journal of Public Health, 2017;107(5):791 to 793. pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28323463
  3. Soke GN, et al. Prevalence of Self-injurious Behaviors among Children with Autism Spectrum Disorder: A Population-Based Study. Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders, 2016;46(11):3607 to 3614. pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5392775